Cases of Autism Dwarf Risk from Measles

When the number of children who get measles is compared with the number who get autism, and then you consider the relative degree of harm from each, it becomes obvious that there’s an agenda behind the measles fear mongering.

 

Woman in bed with thermometer & spots all over her & bed

Here we go again. Fear mongering over measles is in full swing. To listen to the hype from the medical establishment, you’d think it was smallpox, not the relatively mild disease that doesn’t begin to compare with the harm done by the so-called cure for measles, vaccinations. The reality is that the autism epidemic dwarfs the risk of measles in every sense.

First, though, let’s get a sense of the measles hysteria being mounted by seeing what the papers are saying. The Telegraph refers to the people who’ve contracted measles as “struck down”. The Guardian refers to the head of the Health Protection Agency, Mary Ramsay, who focuses on “reminding parents and young adults of the importance of immunisation. Although MMR coverage has improved over the last few years, we cannot stress enough that measles is serious and, in some cases, it can be fatal. Measles is a highly infectious and potentially dangerous illness which spreads very easily.” We’ll see how seriously that warning should be taken! Then, the Los Angeles Times gives dire warning with, “This could bode ill for infants, who are generally too young to get the vaccine.”

Always, the implication is that parents who don’t vaccinate their children are guilty, not only for harm to their own children, but also for putting everyone else at risk. Never are the risks of the vaccinations considered. And there’s a reason for that: If the dangers and likelihood of harm from vaccines were compared with those of measles, the truth would result in widespread resistance to it and other vaccines.

So, let’s do a comparison and see the relative risks from measles and vaccinations:

United Kingdom

According to The Guardian, in the first three months of this year, there were 330 cases of measles in the UK. Apparently, that’s supposed to strike fear in the hearts of parents, though not a single child has died.

Let’s assume that rate continues, so that a total of 1,320 children come down with measles. According to the UK’s Office of National Statistics, the number of live births in the UK over the last few years has been around 790,000 per year. Most of those children are vaccinated. Let’s assume a very conservative number actually received vaccinations for most childhood diseases, and put the number vaccinated at 80%, or about 632,000. Then, let’s round that downwards, just to be sure we err on the side of caution, and make that figure 630,000 new children who receive their vaccinations each year.

Now, the rate of autism is debated, but a commonly-accepted figure is that around 1 in 100 children develop it. That’s 1% of all children, and so far, it appears that only vaccinated children suffer from the disease. (Try to find an unvaccinated autistic child!) So, if we refer to the conservative figure of 630,000 new children who are vaccinated each year, that brings the number of newly-autistic children to about 6,300! That’s 6,300 chronically ill children whose potential in life has been devasted added to all those from previous years.

Compare 6,300 newly autistic children every year with 1,320 children coming down with measles! Multiply the number of measles cases tenfold, and even then, it’s minor compared to children thrust into lives of pain and limitation from autism—not to mention the drain on their families and society as a whole. A few days, even weeks, of illness simply don’t compare with a lifetime of destroyed hopes and options, full of pain and debility.

France

Let’s take a look at France, using a similar approach. France is a worst-case scenario for the incidence of measles in the industrialized world. According to The Guardian, during the same period of time that the UK noted 330 cases of measles, France reported 5,000, with one measles-related death.

The number of live births in France is a little greater than the UK’s, at 796,000 in a year. Using the conservative 80% vaccination rate, that’s 636,800 vaccinated children. As with the UK, we’ll be extra conservative and round downwards to 630,000 new vaccinated children each year—about the same number as in the UK. [Note that the French vaccination rate is actually high, with the MMR vaccine required of every child before entering school. Nonetheless, we’ll assume a much lower rate and use the 80% vaccination rate that we used for the UK.]

So, conservatively, we can assume that 6,300 French children become autistic each year. Compare that with the worst-case scenario that France presents today. 5,000 cases of measles extrapolated over the entire year would be 20,000 cases, a significant number. Then, 1 death extrapolated over the entire year would be 4 deaths.

Next, let’s also consider the number of babies dying from cot death (also called crib death or Sudden Infant Death Syndrome) each year. This is not unreasonable, since a close correlation between cot death and the DPaT vaccine exists. The number of cot deaths in the UK is around 300 a year, and the rate is similar in France. So, we can compare about 300 cot deaths with 4 measles deaths in a year. The number of deaths associated with measles pales in comparison to cot deaths.

Now, let’s take one last jab (pun intended) at the claim that nonvaccinated people are to blame for the pseudo-epidemic of measles. France vaccinates as much as the UK. Yet, France’s outbreak of measles is far bigger, more than 15 times bigger. It has been much larger for the last couple of years, too, so this year is not an anomaly. If the unvaccinated are to blame for measles outbreaks, then why is France’s outbreak so much larger than anywhere else?

Why All the Fear Mongering About Measles?

In even the worst-case scenario, measles cannot compare with autism and cot death for either severity of risk or numbers involved. Even if we discount the obvious connection between vaccinations and both autism and cot death, where is the sense of proportion in the news media and our public health institutions?

If we consider the overall effects and losses from autism alone, it’s obvious that measles isn’t even in the same ballgame. However, instead we have massive resources thrown at measles. An enormous fear mongering campaign has been launched, with the goal of pressing everyone, parents and adults alike, to have more and more vaccinations.

The question must be asked: Why? Why are so much energy and resources being put into scaring people to get vaccinated for a disease that causes a tiny fraction of the harm, both fiscally and in human terms, that measles does?

Surely it’s obvious that this is a misdirection program, propaganda to keep people’s attention away from the truly serious issues. That’s the best possible spin to place on it.

However, it seems obvious to me, and to all those who have personally gone to the effort of reading the research themselves, that there’s an even more insidious campaign of misdirection going on. Its purpose is to promote the belief that vaccines are more beneficial than harmful, to literally scare and shame people into vaccinating both their children and themselves—no matter what the personal or societal cost.

Frankly, I don’t have the words to describe my disgust at the depths of depravity that Big Pharma, Big Medicine, and Big Government have stooped to cover up the autism pandemic and its likely cause, vaccinations.

by Heidi Stevenson

27 May 2011

 

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